This seems reasonable and motivates my bias. But I don't know what to believe anymore.
Any conversation
Overvalued, maybe. Extremely valuable, yes, though.
For sure. We're well past the point of being able to reasonably claim that the tools have no practical use.
But I share the article's skepticism that LLM-based AI will "produce a fully automated drop-in replacement for most knowledge workers". Which it at this point has to in order to justify these companies' stupendous valuations.
Tomorrow no but there will always be the โhopeโ which is enough for the next 20 years before giving up. Which meanwhile would be replacing larger and larger chunks of the workforce so it wonโt really matter, weโll be adjusting our lives around it as well so we meet in the middle.
Tesla has been overvalued for over a decade with the promise of โfully autonomous carsโ and itโs still not losing its value, despite not meeting that (and probably never will, as the computation necessary to achieve it is bounded by physics).
a constant, existential pull
so old I couldn't tell you the end
or draw its shape
between kind acceptance
and striving, struggling, writhing, climbing
learning, growing, discontent
"do you feel this way, too, at endless war with longing itself?"
but the birds and trees and ants and wind
in their own marvelous design
don't reply
โฆ
I think a trusted piece of software such as your operating system should be in charge of managing permissions. For example, I believe with Wayland on gnome you no longer need to promise you aren't secretly taking screenshots of the whole monitor and shipping it somewhere because to do that Wayland requires you to get user permission.
โฆ
NIH syndrome? I am guilty of it too. I love implementing things from scratch, you learn a lot by doing so and you get to own the codebase end-to-end, so no surprises and fighting around othersโ choices. It can get exhausting too though, in the end I succumb to using off-the-shelf components because my primary goals move at a higher level.
I don't see much point in trying to build software at a "higher level", like whole products and services. I'm going to go down low and train myself on the fundamentals. Hopefully in time I'll be able to contribute to the foundational bits.
You're right, it does get exhausting. At some point you just want to rebuild everything, which is not possible.
Reggel egy kicsit letรถrรถltem a kis Gemmรกnak a csatolt rรฉszeit a szรกmรญtรณgรฉprลl, mert mรกr kezdett elegem lenni a hลฑlyesรฉgeibลl, mire apรกm azt mondta, hogy "van egy hapsi az interneten", aki hรบsz รฉve ezzel foglalkozik nem tudom, ha nem tลฑnt volna fel, รฉn is ezt csinรกlom amรบgy.
This morning I was deleting a little of Gemma's attachments from the computer because I was starting to get tired of her antics, and then my dad said, "There's a guy on the internet" who's been doing this for twenty years, I don't know, if he hadn't noticed, I'd be doing the same thing anyway.
An interesting thought: historically, a major consideration for companies choosing what to use is how many engineers use it (because that will make hiring much easier/harder). Going forward, this becomes "how big of a corpus of this code is out there", because it impacts how proficient are likely to be at using it.
