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Overvalued, maybe. Extremely valuable, yes, though.
For sure. We're well past the point of being able to reasonably claim that the tools have no practical use. But I share the article's skepticism that LLM-based AI will "produce a fully automated drop-in replacement for most knowledge workers". Which it at this point has to in order to justify these companies' stupendous valuations.
Tomorrow no but there will always be the “hope” which is enough for the next 20 years before giving up. Which meanwhile would be replacing larger and larger chunks of the workforce so it won’t really matter, we’ll be adjusting our lives around it as well so we meet in the middle.
Tesla has been overvalued for over a decade with the promise of “fully autonomous cars” and it’s still not losing its value, despite not meeting that (and probably never will, as the computation necessary to achieve it is bounded by physics).
That's a different situation. Tesla's a public company whose valuation is driven by the market, which has the right to be irrational. My understanding is that the AI buildout is financed such that the companies need to turn a profit by ~2030 or else they drown in capital costs.
Or maybe the frontier labs become Tesla-like, if it turns out investors just want to believe in the dream and don't care about financials that don't make economic sense. I just don't see that happening, given current sentiment and the overwhelming unpopularity of AI in the West.
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📒profilefollowPresbyter, husband, father, technologist, linguist, musician.wrote:
Problem solving: Two steps forward, two steps forward, two steps forward... Coyote, look down.
🥰profilefollowwrote:
Hitting a workout streak. I started using ladder app and have been consistent for the last two weeks. Three years ago I was 75 lbs heavier. Now trying to build muscle. Sitting and staring at a screen all day… I did that a bit too much ;)
🧜profilefollowrunner. making games, music, software. getting into as much trouble as i can.replied to🥰profilefollow:
Nice work! Working out, once I got into it, was always the fun part. Eating healthy remains a challenge...
🥰profilefollowreplied to🧜profilefollowrunner. making games, music, software. getting into as much trouble as i can.:
Thanks @kevprofilefollowrunner. making games, music, software. getting into as much trouble as i can.. I find cooking myself to be the biggest help. And not buying those sweeeeeets
profilefollowwrote:
看来可以发中文。因为没有身份证,所以不能拥有手机号,接着不能注册稳定的email,也就没法注册内容平台,发布内容。hotmail因为我没有稳定的ip地址,常常封禁我的email账号,我的mastodon账号因此也没法长期使用。我希望这是一个我可以长期发布内容的地方
It seems I can post in Chinese. Because I don't have an ID card, I can't have a phone number, and therefore can't register a stable email address, which means I can't register on content platforms or publish content. Hotmail frequently blocks my email account because I don't have a stable IP address, so my Mastodon account can't be used long-term. I hope this is a place where I can publish content consistently.
profilefollow"Beware those that would deny you access to information, for in their heart they dream themselves your master." — Sid Meyersreplied toprofilefollow:
嗯,好吧,为了你自己,我希望它能持续很长时间。你的互联网问题很难解决,非常抱歉! :-(
Well, okay, for your own sake, I hope it lasts a long time. I'm so sorry your internet problem is so difficult to fix! :-(
profilefollowreplied toprofilefollow"Beware those that would deny you access to information, for in their heart they dream themselves your master." — Sid Meyers:
谢谢你,没想到还真有人回我的帖子,我在互联网上至少几年没和人对话过了
Thank you. I didn't expect anyone to actually reply to my post. I haven't had a conversation with anyone online for at least several years.
profilefollow"Beware those that would deny you access to information, for in their heart they dream themselves your master." — Sid Meyersreplied toprofilefollow:
很高兴成为很久以来的第一个人之一,我的朋友!好好的,周末愉快!原谅我的小错误,我正在用翻译来回复。我们都知道大多数时候都不太好。
So happy to be one of the first people to reply in a long time, my friend! Have a good weekend! Please forgive my little mistake, I'm replying using a translation. We all know things aren't always great.
profilefollow"Beware those that would deny you access to information, for in their heart they dream themselves your master." — Sid Meyersreplied toprofilefollow:
I am sure pretty much everything that isn’t criminal, abusive, or illegal. I know those definitions vary from country to country. Just be a good human, and you should be OK.
☕profilefollowEternal disciple of impostor syndrome ∙ Perth, WA.wrote:
With each passing workday I spend agentsitting, my ability to program in isolation atrophies. This might be dismissed as needless self-serving anxiety, but perhaps irrationally, I can't let it go.
🧙profilefollowit's me,hireplied to🥷profilefollowGetting older one pixel at a time:
To understand the latest trends or related software or products, if you are interested or it is related to your own industry, you can learn about and study them.Whether you use it for work or just as a hobby, you can give it a try. I guess.just study.
profilefollowa work in progress; i love cats 🐱wrote:
Had to take care of something for school. But now in bed with my book.
having just spent a week camper-travelling Norway, hiking mountains and glaciers, swimming in fjords really put some things into perspective for me - I should take more vacations
This inspired me. I think adventure might be part of our nature that needs more or less attention, but it somehow needs to be maintained to be achieved. Hehe, this might be simple thoughts, reading what i wrote.. but I am gratefull for you reminding me of the importance of fresh perspectives deriving from ones own willing exploratory experience.
profilefollowI ain't no nothing!wrote:
අද පොහොය දවස. ශ්‍රී ලංකාවේ හැම මාසයකම පුන් සඳ පායන දවස පොදු නිවාඩු දිනයක්. වෙසක් පොහොය (මැයි මස) ලෝකයටම නිවාඩු දිනයක්.
Today is Poya Day. The full moon day of every month in Sri Lanka is a public holiday. Vesak Poya (May) is a holiday for the whole world.